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  • Agenda item

    DRAFT SETTLEMENT - GWYNEDD COUNCIL FINANCIAL STRATEGY 2018/19, 2019/20 and 2020/2021

    • Meeting of Schools Finance Forum, Monday, 13th November, 2017 2.00 pm (Item 6.)

    To receive a verbal report on the above by the Head of Finance.

     

     

    Minutes:

    Welsh Government Settlement for Local Government 2018/19

     

    The Head of Finance reported that approximately a year ago the Welsh Government mentioned that there was an 'additional' allocation of £58m, however, it was not additional as the grants to local authorities would significantly reduce.   

     

    This year it was noted that the Cabinet Secretary's statements mentioned £104m which was not really 'additional', as the Local Government allocation was down 0.5% in 'money' terms, without any addition towards inflation or inevitable higher requirements.  £62m of the 'additional' allocation was for schools, but there was no 'money'.  It was also said that some grants would transfer to the settlement but again there was no additional 'money'.  

     

    It was proposed to hold Partnership Council meetings and the Local Government Committee in Cardiff Bay last week but due to tragic circumstances the Welsh Government closed for a week.  It was trusted that some clarity could be received about the grants as soon as possible.

     

    It was understood that the Welsh Government had additional money but this had been prioritised for the health sector. 

     

    Gwynedd Council Settlement 2018/19

     

    Welsh local authorities had received a cut of 0.5% on average, with Gwynedd Council receiving a cut of 0.1% in a range between 0 and 1%. It was noted that there was a difference between the 0.5% and the 0.1% that had already been committed by the Council in order to address expenditure requirements on social care in a rural area.

     

    It was noted that this year's settlement was again difficult for Welsh local authorities, which was a continuation of the impact of the Westminster Government's 'austerity' policy that will have an impact on services and residents across Wales. 

     

    It was stressed that there would be more bad news in the future with inflation at around 2%, it was noted that the draft settlement of 0.1% (to be confirmed in December) was a real cut of 2%, with nothing to meet the additional pressures on social care services to a higher number of older residents etc. 

     

    Potential Situation 2019/20

     

    By 2019/20 it was noted that the Welsh Government had announced an 'indicative' settlement of -1.5%.  At the same time significant pay inflation was expected to address the 'living wage' target for Council staff and supplier staff.  This could mean a real cut impact of approximately 5% by 2019/20.

     

    (ch) Corporate Financial Requirements and the impact on school budgets by 2018/19

     

    By 2018/19, it was noted that there would be no additional savings target for schools, like the rest of the Council's services, BUT:  

     

    ·         Historical savings plans had to be implemented, this included the remainder of the £4.3m, where there was approximately £200,000 to come from additional organisation of schools by 2018/19

    ·         As this was not on track, no doubt the quantum would have to be reduced appropriately, this was equivalent to around 0.3%.

     

            Departmental Financial Requirements and the impact on school budgets by 2018/19

     

    It was reported that there was a significant overspend (£260,000) on transport for pupils, mainly taxis for children with additional learning needs. It was noted that the Head of Education had submitted a bid to the Council to fund this inevitable pressure in the future, and retrospectively, however it was unlikely that the Council would approve the application.  As this had to be funded from somewhere, no doubt the quantum would have to be reduced for this as well.  Therefore, this could mean that schools would face a reduction of half a million in their allocations, equivalent to around an extra 0.7%.

     

    However, in accordance with the usual procedure in Gwynedd Council, inflation in school budgets would be funded, therefore there would be a net growth in real terms and any cut would be transparent.  

     

    (dd) Corporate Financial Requirements and the impact on school budgets by 2019/20 and beyond

     

    It was reported that it would be a huge financial challenge for the Council to find up to £30m of savings over three years.  Therefore, between now and October 2019 all Council services, including Education in terms of schools, would have to explain the likely impact of significant cuts in their budgets.  

     

    Having considered all the options, and having had confirmation of the settlement in a year's time, the Council will consult with the public on the options between October and November 2019.  These options meant including reducing the schools quantum by 2019/20.

     

            Requirements of Departmental Finance and the impact on schools' budgets by 2019/20

     

    It was reported that the Education Department had established an administrative structure in the three areas at an additional cost of £275,000, conditional to introducing savings for a similar sum within three years from September 2016.  It was noted that a portion of these savings would be required by 2019.

     

    Resolved:  To accept and note the above.